by Christopher Nye | Dec 12, 2025
An interest rate cut from the US Federal Reserve and doveish comments from its chairman did for the dollar yesterday, with losses across the board. Several other Fed policymakers will be commenting today, and on Tuesday we’ll hear Non-Farm Payrolls. USD/GBP past year...
by Christopher Nye | Dec 12, 2025
With the exception of the Swiss franc and Swedish krona it’s been a good week for the euro, with close to a 1% gain on the dollar. The main prompt appears to be the potential for an increase in interest rates in 2026, while the UK and USA continue cutting. GBP/EUR...
by Christopher Nye | Dec 12, 2025
The expected rise in GDP didn’t happen in October and the pound has weakened in response this morning, as the data is cueing up an interest rate cut on Thursday. Ahead of that, on Tuesday we’ll hear employment and earnings and on Wednesday inflation. GBP/USD past year...
by Charles Purdy | Dec 12, 2025
It was all downhill for the dollar yesterday as the markets considered that the only way is down for US interest rates. This belief was supported by a bump in initial claims for unemployment benefits, with 236,000 new claimants. In the UK we have just had the Gross...
by Jonathan Cook | Dec 11, 2025
The Fed’s final meeting of the year has been setting the direction for the US dollar for weeks. After a long period of holds, interest rates have been slashed by 75 basis points (or 0.75%) since September. Politics aside, many experts think 2026 will give policymakers...
by Jonathan Cook | Dec 11, 2025
Christine Lagarde dropped a strong hint that the European Central Bank (ECB) would soon upgrade its 2025 full-year GDP forecasts for the second time in three months. The ECB noted that the eurozone had navigated the trade war better than expected, with currency...
by Jonathan Cook | Dec 11, 2025
Sterling doesn’t have anywhere to hide after last night’s decision in Washington. In fact, it has its own interest rate decision to navigate a week from today. That comes after a busy run of economic releases that begins with a crucial GDP report bright and early...
by Jonathan Cook | Dec 11, 2025
At its last meeting of 2025, the Federal Reserve voted to cut interest rates by a quarter point (0.25%). That decision put to bed weeks of frenzied speculation from across global markets and came with enough of a dovish slant to send the US dollar down by about half a...
by Charles Purdy | Dec 10, 2025
Some of the froth came off the pound’s recent gains yesterday, but it’s still clinging on to a position close to a six-week high against the euro. The background to exchange rate movements right now is interest rates and some volatility can be expected. The US Federal...
by Christopher Nye | Dec 10, 2025
Positive data on job openings yesterday failed to impress the currency markets – or at least, not as much as they were concerned at the interest rate cut expected today. We’ll get that decision at 7pm UK time.
