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GBP: Pound on upswing

Sterling gained some ground yesterday, recovering to its best against the euro for close to a month – well before the new Iran war began – as bond yields and stock markets held firm. Following a better than expected Halifax house price index this morning, the next...


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USD: Strong data adds to the Fed’s dilemma

The dollar eased overnight as markets latched onto the Iran diplomatic signal, but it remains well above where it started the week. The conflict has reinforced its role as the default destination when investors are nervous – and with the situation in the Middle East...


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EUR: Energy shock clouds the ECB’s rate path

The euro has edged higher against the dollar this morning, but it remains under heavier pressure than the pound thanks to the eurozone’s acute dependence on energy imports. The old rule of thumb still holds – when oil surges, Europe pays a disproportionate...


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