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EUR: Stagflation prediction

EUR/USD climbed by over fourth-tenths of a per cent and by a much thinner margin against the pound. Don’t shoot the messenger, said the ECB’s Luis de Guindos, but inflation may return and growth could be stunted. The vice president said that recent progress on...


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GBP: Bailey plays coy

GBP/EUR fell by just 0.1% yesterday but sterling climbed by a third of a per cent over the US dollar. BoE governor Andrew Bailey didn’t say as much as perhaps markets hoped during yesterday’s remarks. He approved of high street banks reducing the cost of their...


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Euro climbs as ECB hints at recession

The euro made modest gains in yesterday’s session, adding 0.4% against the US dollar and around half that against the pound. GBP/USD rose by around a third of a per cent although there was an absence of punchy macro evidence to back up the swing. The euro’s...


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Markets wait for data (but you don’t have to)

While sterling has had a slightly negative start to the week against the euro, it retains most of its gains from last week and is still 1% up on where it started the year. As mentioned on Monday, we are entering shark-infested waters for anyone committed to a large...


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EUR: Job market still strong

EUR/USD fell by around a third of a per cent yesterday, while GBP/EUR was essentially unchanged. The European economy has thus far proven itself fairly well insulated from higher interest rates. The eurozone’s unemployment rate fell to just 6.4% in November, bolstered...


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