It has been an interesting week on the data front across the board, and a choppy week for the pound against some of its rival currencies. Sterling enters the day with weekly gains of approximately 0.45% and 1.02% against the euro and US dollar respectively.
On Wednesday, the UK saw the latest services PMI data which pointed to the second consecutive month of growth within service sector activity. The index came in at 52.9 in March 2023 which was broadly in line with preliminary estimate of 52.8 but below February’s final reading of 53.5.
The UK’s Construction PMI will be released shortly at 9:30am.
We also heard that average house prices in the UK have climbed for the third month in a row. According to Halifax, average house prices increased by 0.8% in March following a 1.2% rise in February – the increase pushed the average UK property price to £287,880 in March.
Saying this, economists expect the housing market to slow further this year as a result of higher borrowing costs and a falling demand for housing.
Eurozone markets have just seen industrial production figures for Germany rise way above market expectations. According to the Federal Statistical Office, industrial production in Germany surged 2% month-over-month, exceeding market forecasts of a 0.1% increase.
Switzerland’s unemployment rate fell to its lowest reading since last November, hitting 2%. The data showed the number of people out of work declined by 5.8% and the youth unemployment rate also fell to an 8-month low of 1.8%.
Over in China, fresh economic data released today revealed a thriving services sector. The services sector grew at the fastest pace since 2020.
Due to the Good Friday bank holiday tomorrow, there will be no data releases scheduled for the UK and some other countries however, key economic releases will continue as normal for the US.
Tomorrow will be a big data day for dollar-watchers, with the latest unemployment and nonfarms data both scheduled for release at 1:30pm UK time. Many will be watching closely to see whether the data will trigger US dollar volatility.
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