Sterling recorded gains against its rival currencies on Tuesday as markets ramped up bets that stubborn inflation would force the Bank of England to be slower to cut interest rates.

UK consumers have been relatively resilient to rate increases, but a good test of that will come on Friday with the release of retail sales figures. Forecasts predict a pre-Christmas bounce of 0.6%, which would be well up from the -0.3% seen in October.

GBP/USD: the past year

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