Winter is coming

Sterling starts the week holding onto some of the gains it made last week when the EU commission president said she was hopeful of a deal. Other than that small ray of sunshine, the headwinds against sterling seem to be stronger than ever this morning as the...


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USD: Presidential race warms up

The dollar had a flat sort of week against EUR while losing out slightly to GBP. This week political and monetary considerations should dominate. America’s most divisive and charged election in decades was ramped up even further by the sad death of Supreme Court Judge...


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EUR: Italy’s potentially destabilising election

The euro weakened sightly against GBP last week. Against USD, despite a dip midweek the single currency ended the week essentially unchanged. The Eurozone and its major economies also have PMI releases on Wednesday, along with GfK consumer confidence. Covid could also...


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GBP: Further detail on negative rates planning?

Sterling starts the week almost 1% higher against both EUR and USD than last Monday, after the EU Commission president made positive comments on hopes for a Brexit trade deal. With no UK-EU trade talks this week, the focus will switch to monetary policy, where BoE...


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GBP faces new lockdown risk

The UK as a whole could be heading for more lockdown measures as new Covid cases exceeded 4,000 per day for the first time since May – albeit with more testing now. Despite this, fatality rates remain low. A two-week “circuit breaker” lockdown, perhaps over the...


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