German GDP optimism

The euro remains steady against USD, just about holding onto August’s gains against USD. Potential threats to European business remain however, including a potential no-deal Brexit. Tensions with Russia will inevitably rise as German doctors claim that opposition...


read more

Hopes for “K-shaped” recovery

The only data release today is at 11am, with CBI Distributive Trades, a test of retail expectations. Last month it beat expectations and this will be supportive of sterling if repeated this month. With little news yesterday the pound traded within a very narrow band...


read more

Markets wait for monetary policy signals

There was little movement in GBP/EUR yesterday as data and news was thin on the ground, although GBP/USD swung down and then up by roughly 0.5% over the past 24 hours. Things could liven later in the week with more from Trump and central bankers at the Jackson Hole...


read more

Crunch time for EU residency

For currencies it’s going to be an interesting week. Sterling is still holding up well for the time of year, as recent third quarters have seen it suffer. On Brexit talks, as no-one has any real idea of the UK government or EU’s propensity for a no-deal, traders are...


read more

Jackson Hole dominates

The dollar could come under threat midweek with the (virtual) Jackson Hole symposium of senior policymakers. What can US policymakers do about arresting the dollar’s structural weakness? Tuesday is the big day for data in the US, with house prices, new home sales and...


read more