USD: consistent expectations of lower dollar

Most houses produce outlooks for the year around this time and it’s starkly obvious this year the consistency of the call for a lower dollar. They may or may not be right at some stage; often the first move in January is the wrong one. Friday sees the release of...


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GBP: sterling has every opportunity to rally

Many pundits are calling the US dollar lower this year (maybe too many – when everyone is calling it the same way often it becomes a risk in itself) and with FTSE having fallen so hard this morning sterling should have had every opportunity to rally. Tough going...


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Economics takes centre stage

Chinese Manufacturing PMI data slipped below 50 and back into contraction for the first time in over two years and sent equities into a tailspin on the first day of the New Year. This continued the volatility that had been a feature of December. There was also some...


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EUR: markets wait to see if PMIs dip below 50

We’ve got PMIs across the whole region and the main focus will be on how far they have slipped and whether the majority of them dip below 50. The Italians have managed to get their budget passed, and with more and more people thinking the dollar might have peaked,...


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