EUR: A temporary reprieve?

EUR/USD climbed to a two-week high yesterday as reports of Trump’s tariff pullback brought relief for the single currency. While he may not have signed anything on Day 1, the euro’s short-term future will very much rest on US trade policy – specifically whether the...


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GBP: Holding off a stronger euro

Sterling managed to limit its losses to under 0.3% against the euro yesterday but not without some difficulty. The euro is building up some nice momentum as the pound continues to struggle against forecast interest rate cuts and weak growth. GBP/USD: the past year...


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Trump returns to office with US dollar dominant

Sterling enters the week bruised but still afloat after recent stress in the bond market. As UK gilts (government debt) enjoyed their best week from a yield perspective since July, GBP/EUR slid by almost 1% while GBP/USD trended downwards but saw more modest losses....


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USD: Trump and IMF highlight dollar risks

Donald Trump’s return and the inflation warning from the IMF are two key risks for the US dollar. While rising inflation might be positive for the US dollar, Trump is widely known to view high rates as the chief strain on his economy. There is a good chance that he...


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