Select Page


From despair to relief as Trump changes course

There was quite a change in mood within currency markets on Monday. A day that began with apprehension over President Trump’s 48-hour ultimatum ended with relief, as he suddenly announced a five-day pause in strikes against Iranian energy infrastructure. That was...


read more

Markets look nervously at UK economy

Markets look nervously at UK economy

Having spent most of March gaining on the euro, sterling reversed direction on Friday and lost most of a cent within a few hours. Will that continue today or was it simply a correction? The worry for those buying euros is that having failed to break through a...


read more

USD: Safe-haven, with a question mark

The dollar still tends to benefit when the world feels uncertain, even when the US is a central character in the story. If markets start thinking the conflict could broaden, you can get a tug-of-war between safe-haven demand and worries about inflation being pushed...


read more

EUR: Gains on major pairs as rate rises threaten

The euro’s tone is still being pulled in two directions. On the one hand, the European Central Bank (ECB) is signalling it can’t relax yet, because higher energy prices can feed through into broader inflation. On the other, the same shock can dent growth, especially...


read more

GBP: Pound faces uphill battle

Sterling fell sharply on Friday against the euro, but will that continue today? The prompt seems to have been a general loss of faith in UK finances, as government borrowing costs rise and the economy remains stuck amidst sticky inflation. We’ll see how the inflation...


read more