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GBP: Hawks hold the power

Sterling stabilised into the new week, despite a disappointing GDP miss in January that set the scene for more struggles ahead. The only real silver lining is that the threat of higher inflation has fundamentally changed the game for the Bank of England and helped...


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Shipping stalemate continues

The conflict in the Middle East is still top of the agenda for currency markets as we enter the third week of the war. Oil remained above $100 per barrel for the majority of Monday’s trading with the headlines focused around efforts to resume shipments through the...


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Oil shock turns into Bank of England headache

The oil story has moved on again. It’s no longer just about a higher price, but also about whether supply can flow safely, and how quickly governments can calm things down. Over the weekend, the UK discussed practical support to help keep shipping lanes open around...


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GBP: Flat GDP makes the BoE’s job harder

Sterling has been pulled in two directions. On one hand, 0.0% GDP growth in January strengthens the case for lower interest rates. On the other, the jump in oil prices makes it harder for the Bank of England to sound relaxed about inflation when it makes its decision...


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