USD: Backed up by data

For those who may have questioned the Fed’s tactics, the recent 0.5% cut to interest rates was vindicated (at least in part) by rapidly falling inflation data. Given the study’s ensuring popularity with policymakers, the US dollar fell as markets expected more cuts...


read more

EUR: ECB under pressure

The ECB faces a tricky October interest rate meeting. Recent inflation data will be used as evidence of the need for a cut but the hawks are arguing for a pause. Christine Lagarde faces a tough balancing act, particularly as she ruled out signposting future policy in...


read more

GBP: More to run?

When will sterling’s successes run out of steam? Not soon according to some major banks (look out for more on this in our upcoming forecast) who have raised their pound projections for the rest of 2024. Downside risks to this giddy optimism are significant,...


read more

GBP: Pound returns to heights

After a brief dip on Wednesday, the pound bounced back up to those 2½ year highs yesterday. There isn’t a great deal of data coming down the wire today, but next week starts with a final result for quarterly GDP and some data on mortgages approvals, which are expected...


read more