GBP: G7 inflation leader

The IMF expects the UK to face the highest rate of inflation of all G7 nations in both 2025 and 2026. Combined with the recent warning that inflation could become entrenched, next week’s inflation report – where the headline rate is predicted to reach 4% – looks...


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Monetary mood turn hits your exchange rate

Monetary mood turn hits your exchange rate

The pound weakened yesterday after the UK’s unemployment rate hit its worst since the pandemic and pay rises eased. Sterling’s losses were fairly modest at half a cent or so against the euro, and not across the board, but they did wipe out all the gains that GBP/EUR...


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EUR: Bounce-back against dollar

After falling for most of the month, EUR/USD staged a recovery yesterday, gaining half a cent in the afternoon session and holding onto it despite disappointing mood music from a ZEW report. We’re getting some final inflation data through shortly, but the markets will...


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