USD: More shutdown upheaval

America’s political system is at its most dysfunctional when Republicans and Democrats are forced to work together. Amid the grandstanding, the simple fact is another shutdown would have significant consequences for the economy and the US dollar. EUR/USD: the past...


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EUR: Inflation gauntlet

The euro will be influenced by a number of inflation reads over the next two days. The European Central Bank is currently in a curious position, and with markets struggling to get a read on its thinking, this data should provide a better clue as to where it goes next...


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GBP: The perils of policy

The pound moved up, down and back up again yesterday as the Labour conference kicked off. Reeves was at pains to emphasise her fiscal restraint, which certainly helped cool some heads in the bond market. It also demonstrated that sterling’s near-term future will be...


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Reeves signals tax rises ahead of autumn budget

UK Chancellor Rachel Reeves gave the strongest indication yet that she would raise taxes to plug the government’s spending deficit at the autumn budget. Speaking at the Labour party’s annual conference in Liverpool, Reeves again highlighted the “tough choices” the...


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