Select Page


EUR: German surplus

The euro continued to lose ground to its main rivals at the start of the new week. Just like the month before, the German trade surplus (i.e. exports minus inmports) widened in December. The balance of trade had been expected to sit around €17bn, so the final figure...


read more

GBP: Services stay strong

Sterling advanced by around a quarter of a per cent against the euro while falling back against the US dollar. As we predicted might be the case yesterday, the UK’s services sector reported an expansion in January’s final S&P Global PMI survey. That figure ended...


read more

Jobs report highlights currency risks

The pound had a week of short, sharp rises and falls against the euro, which ultimately returned to where they started. Nevertheless, GBP/EUR is well over 0.5% up over the month and 5% (yes, five percent) up on this time last year. If you would like to fix this rate...


read more

USD: The floating apple

The US dollar bounced back on Friday following red hot jobs data. What would Sir Isaac Newton make of the US economy? Interest rates are being held high, yet jobs are still being created and growth continues. When will the apple hit the ground? Where is the entropy?...


read more

GBP: PMI upside

Sterling clung onto its recent highs against the euro, but GBP/USD lost two thirds of a per cent last week. Monday begins with the final number of the S&P Global Services PMI in January. The UK is well ahead of the equivalent surveys in Europe, and an adjustment...


read more