GBP: Economists await wage and jobs data

On Tuesday this week, the UK unemployment rate for May is expected to increase to 3.9% from 3.8% in April. The average earnings index (including bonuses) is expected to have risen 6.8% in May, up from 6.5% in April. Average earnings with bonuses included are expected...


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EUR: German industrial output falls

Late last week economists heard industrial production declined by 0.2% month-over-month in May 2023 to their surprise. This deviated from the market forecasts of a flat reading and followed April’s 0.3% rise.


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USD: Traders expect a 25-point rate hike

Late last week economists heard US stocks plummeted on Friday as the US economy added 209,000 jobs, while the unemployment rate fell back to 3.6% and wage growth was steady. However, traders are 95% sure that July will bring a 25 basis-point hike from the Federal...


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Sterling unstable in big week for data

The pound moved up close to its strongest position for close to a year against the euro last week, before falling away a little. However, it remains well above the five year average and 3 to 4% stronger than in the spring. Why not lock that in with a forward contract?...


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USD: Dollar’s short but sharp reaction to data

Business optimism in the US remained high last month, with the ISM Services PMI unexpectedly leaping up to 53.9 in June. The dollar strengthened sharply yesterday in early trading and then gently deflated throughout the rest of the afternoon and evening. The big story...


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